According to a recently released report from the national intelligence council titled global trends 2030. The report lists four megatrends that are predicted to occur over the next 20 years or so, including individual empowerment, increased demand for. The highlevel conference will convene more than 150 participants from the policymaking, business, media, and technology communities in the united states and from around the world. Global trends to 2030 towards a culture of preparedness and anticipation against this backdrop, the espas global trends to 2030.
Slaughter1 abstract the article acknowledges some of the strengths of the nic report such as its use of scenarios. The national intelligence councils nic global trends report engages expertise from outside government on factors of such as globalization, demography and the environment, producing a forwardlooking document to aid policymakers in their long term planning on key issues of worldwide. Paradox of progress pdf, 235 seiten national intelligence council office of the director of national intelligence s. For the first time in history, emerging economies are counterparts on more than half of global trade flows, and southsouth trade is the fastestgrowing type of connection. Challenges and choices for europe report is a contribution to support policy and decisionmakers as they navigate the world into 2030.
In introducing this, i want to quote something that was said last fall in the initial rollout of this document by the principle author, matt boroughs, who. A condensed version of the report is also available 1. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. Chinas gdp, c for example, is likely to be about 140 percent larger than japan s. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for. Alternative worlds of the us national intelligence council nic comes to a similar conclusion that we are living through a transformative period that is equal to if not greater than the aftermath of the political and economic revolutions of the late 18th century. Beacons of technology and innovation in manufacturing, world economic forum, january 2019 wto lowers trade forecast as tensions unsettle global economy, world trade organisation press release, 1 october 2019. Take the time to look over the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils nic series of reports aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future entitled global trends 2030. The alternative is an even longer list of blog posts, like above, linked at end of post. Alternative worlds is a draft report being prepared by the us national intelligence council to be released after the presidential election, in december 2012. The office of the director of national intelligence has recently released a report titled, global trends 2030. The global trends 2030 report depicts three hypothetical future worlds and examines their implications. Use features like bookmarks, note taking and highlighting while reading global trends 2030.
The 2030 pdf is broken, can you up again the archive thanks. Global trends 2030 reports of all possible future worlds. Alternative worlds leads with the stalled engines alternative world a scenario in which the united states and europe turn inward and globalization stalls as one of its bookends, illustrating the most plausible worstcase scenario. Nonstate world driven by new technologies, nonstate actors take the lead in confronting global challenges.
Drawing on a range of political, economic, and social trends, this paper. What will our future world be like in the next fifteen to twenty years. The developing world is driving global connectedness. The atlantic councils brent scowcroft center on international security will host a twoday conference launching the us national intelligence council s nic global trends 2030. It also critiques it on grounds that include failing to learn from feedback on the 2005 report, over. Overview of the national intelligence council report on. These six global trends are creating everlarger winners and losers and sparking a new imperative for inclusive growth. Alternative worlds free ebook download as pdf file. Germany has dgfev online casino two factors working against it low fertility and low labor income among older adults. What fate for liberal order in a postwestern world. Alternative worlds, china will possess the world s largest economy by 2030, if not sooner. Megatrends shaping the future of global higher education and. The publication is compiled of four megatrends, gamechangers, and potential worlds that make a framework for the future of the world.
This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520 years. In depth research, detailed modeling and a variety of analytical tools drawn from public, private and academic sources. Back in 2010, china officially passed japan to become the world s second largest economy. The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council. Alternative worlds, the national intelligence council provides a hypothesis of political and geographic factors that could influence the world in the year 2030. Download it once and read it on your kindle device, pc, phones or tablets. Alternative worlds summary theme major trends ancillary trends megatrends individual empowerment reduction of poverty expanding global middle class narrowing education and gender gaps innovations in communications technologies improving health. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical. Policy implications for the future of global health procurement the availability and affordability of health productsmedicines, diagnostics, devices, and equipmentare critical to achieving universal health coverage and improving health outcomes. The highlevel conference will convene more than 150 participants from the policymaking, business, media, and technology communities in the united states and from around the world in an unprecedented gathering to discuss.
This nic report provides an overview of current international economic, political, and societal trends, with commentary on what impact these trends may have over through 2030. Southsouth and chinasouth trade jumped from 8 percent of the global total in 1995 to 20 percent in 2016. Alternative worlds, national intelligence council situational analysis. The nic global trends project involves extensive research and consultations with people inside the us government and around the world. Alternative worlds of the us national intelligence council nic comes to a similar. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. Alternative worlds report released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council. United states national intelligence council us nic. Dec, 2012 of nat or io ct re na f the di l in llige te eo ic n f ce ofdear reader. Alternative worlds, the fifth installment of a series that aims to provide a framework for thinking about future policy planning. Jan 03, 20 global trends 2030 with america at the center. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years.
Alternative worlds, us national intelligence council, december 2012 fourth industrial revolution. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential discontinuities. Megatrends shaping the future of global higher education and international student mobility. Alternative worlds report and exploring its consequences for us strategy moving forward.
Alternative worlds, china will possess the world s largest economy by 2030, if not. Of all possible future worlds is a book that asks, what will our world be like in the next fifteen to twenty years. And the global middle class of one billion today, by pessimistic projections, would go to two billion, and if positive trends. Granted, they did say that new technologies could be game changers, but then they didnt follow up on such highly likely events. Global trends 2030 with america at the center forbes. Global trends 2030 alternative worlds gt2030 blog posts.
Jan 07, 20 without completely disengaging, the us is no longer the global policeman. Reconciling these conflicting pressures will demand tough decisions. Arguably, darker scenarios are imaginable, including a complete breakdown and reversal of globalization due to a potential large. Summaries of the us, eu, russia, and nato global trends 2030 reports. Dec 01, 2012 global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. Burrows, counselor to the national intelligence council, discusses the global trends 2030. The global trends project engages expertise from outside government on factors of such as globalization, demography and the environment. Mathew burrows counselor and director, analysis and production staff, national intelligence council global trends 2030. Given the inexorable trend of moores law for the last 50 years, id say that neglect of technology is criminally foolish. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligencecouncils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. The national intelligence councils nic global trends report engages expertise from outside government on factors of such as globalization, demography and the environment, producing a forwardlooking document to aid policymakers in their long term planning on key issues of worldwide importance. Alternative worlds kindle edition by burrows, mathew.
The national intelligence council nic, the forwardlooking think tank of the u. Dec 10, 2012 on monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence released the national intelligence councils nic latest global trends report, global trends 2030. As the worlds largest economic power, china is expected to remain ahead of india, but the gap could begin to close by 2030. T he world of 2030 will be radically potential black swansdiscrete eventswould transformed from our world today. This report presents various scenarios of what our world could look like by 2030, and is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today. At the end of 2012, the us national intelligence council nic released global trends 2030. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and. Rahul choudaha, evp of global engagement, research and intelligence edwin van rest, ceo and cofounder about authors suggested citation for this report. This gt2030 link should start a pdf download immediately. New health technologies will continue to extend the average age of populations around the world, ameliorate debilitating physical and mental conditions, and improve overall wellbeing. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence. Uncertainty of global economy greater importance of good governance increased conflict everywhere regional global instability changing role of technology changing role of the usa rising sourceinfluence of bric countries. On monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence.
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